CFN Predicts UNT Will win 2 Lose 10 in 2013

[MeanGreen61]

North Texas

Non-Conference Games: Idaho, at Ohio, Ball State, at Georgia
Games Against the East: Middle Tennessee, at Southern Miss
Realistic Best Case Record: 6-6
Worst Case Record: 1-11
Likely Finish: 2-10

Pre-Preseason Projected Wins: Idaho, UTSA

Pre-Preseason Projected Losses: at Ohio, Ball State, at Georgia, at Tulane, Middle Tennessee, at Louisiana Tech, at Southern Miss, Rice, UTEP, at Tulsa

Summary: The Mean Green should be better, but the record probably won’t show it unless they can handle a few 50/50 games at home. Middle Tennessee, Ball State and UTEP could all go either way, and UNT needs to win them all with a run of four road games in five and finishing up the regular season with a trip to Tulsa. The late part of the season is helped by not having any November road games until the finale, but there can’t be any mistakes. Throw in away games at Ohio, Georgia and Louisiana Tech, and Idaho and UTSA become must wins.

2013 Schedule
8/31 Idaho
9/7 at Ohio
9/14 Ball State
9/21 at Georgia
9/28 OPEN DATE
10/5 at Tulane
10/12 Middle Tennessee
10/19 at Louisiana Tech
10/26 at Southern Miss
11/2 Rice
11/9 UTEP
11/16 OPEN DATE
11/23 UTSA
11/30 at Tulsa

http://cfn.scout.com/2/1267191.html

[EagleMBA]

To CFN: ...and the horse you rode in on!

[letsgiveacheer]

I had us down for three or four wins but this would scenario would not surprise me, unfortunately. I sure hope this is wrong!

[YIPYKIA]

I say we have 6 wins next year!

[GoMeanGreen1999]

Most fans never really want to believe their favorite team will finish under .500. As a result at least half of this board was predicting the same 6 win season for Dodge in his fourth, despite all the evidence in the first 3 seasons of his coaching career here.

Edited February 16, 2013 by GoMeanGreen1999

[Mean Green Matt]

I think that's a little on the negative side. I see anwhere from 4-8 wins depending on QB play and what kind of team shows up for us (which I guess is sort of a duh comment). If the disaster does happen and we get only two wins does McCarney come back for year 4? Would we even have the money for that after we buy out Benford?

[MDH]

I'll be disappointed with 3 or less, expect 4 or 5 and will be thrilled with 6 or more.

[GrayEagle]

Irrational, but bulletin board incentive.

[UNTcrazy727]

I think that's a little on the negative side. I see anwhere from 4-8 wins depending on QB play and what kind of team shows up for us (which I guess is sort of a duh comment). If the disaster does happen and we get only two wins does McCarney come back for year 4? Would we even have the money for that after we buy out Benford?

I can't imagine we'd bring McCarney back if we only win two games next year, but this is UNT so conventional thinking doesn't apply

[meangreener]

If Thompson starts, this is possible. I don't see it. Mac went 5-7 with the terrible 2011 team. Transfers will be huge. Predictions from these places are poor because they don't do much research into the situation (i.e. Berglund starting). I stand by my prediction of 7-5. There's too much talent for 2-10.

Edited February 16, 2013 by meangreener

[NT03]

I predict at least 10 bowl threads after we beat Idaho

[greenjoe]

I'll hate myself by the end of the season, but I had us winning against Idaho, Tulane, S. Miss, UTEP, and UTSA. That's 5. With a 50-50 shot against Ohio and/or Rice, we should win 6 or 7.

Pass the green Kool-ade please.

GO MEAN GREEN

[GoMeanGreen1999]

I think that's a little on the negative side. I see anwhere from 4-8 wins depending on QB play and what kind of team shows up for us (which I guess is sort of a duh comment). If the disaster does happen and we get only two wins does McCarney come back for year 4? Would we even have the money for that after we buy out Benford?

Mac will be here for his 4th season I believe no matter what happens this year. If Dodge was given a 4th one after his first 3, no way you don't bring Mac back for his fourth.

[UNT90]

I predict at least 10 bowl threads after we beat Idaho

You make a very big assumption that we will beat Idaho.

I see 3 wins.

[oldguystudent]

Most fans never really want to believe their favorite team will finish under .500. As a result at least half of this board was predicting the same 6 win season for Dodge in his fourth, despite all the evidence in the first 3 seasons of his coaching career here.

But Dodge DID have six wins by year four!

[UNT90]

I'll hate myself by the end of the season, but I had us winning against Idaho, Tulane, S. Miss, UTEP, and UTSA. That's 5. With a 50-50 shot against Ohio and/or Rice, we should win 6 or 7.

Pass the green Kool-ade please.

GO MEAN GREEN

You need to reconsider the Rice game. Check out what they did last year and who they have returning. The only thing that gives us even a glimmer of hope in this game is that it is at Apogee.

Ohio is much the same, except we play them on the road. That one is a loss.

[NT03]

You make a very big assumption that we will beat Idaho.

I see 3 wins.

I have to. It might the next time time we see a UNT win from a men's team

[MeanGreenHoops]

College football changes drastically from year to year. Trying to look at the previous years records and determine what wins you'll have based on that is too simple. Basically everyone thinks they will be better, so if you look at your record compared to last year's records for teams on the schedule sprinkle in some home/away magic dust and then make a prediction. It just doesn't work. Here was last years pre-season AP poll followed by the end of season ranking in bold.

1. Southern Cal - NR

2. Alabama - 1

3. LSU - 14

4. Oklahoma - 15

5. Oregon - 2

6. Georgia - 5

7. Florida St. - 10

8. Michigan - 24

9. South Carolina - 8

10. Arkansas - NR

11. West Virginia - NR

12. Wisconsin - NR

13. Michigan St. - NR

14. Clemson - 11

15. Texas - 19

16. Virginia Tech - NR

17. Nebraska - 25

18. Ohio St. - 3

19. Oklahoma St. - NR

20. TCU - NR

21. Stanford - 7

22. Kansas St. - 12

23. Florida - 9

24. Boise St. - 18

25. Louisville- 13

32% of the pre-season top 25 weren't even ranked at the end of the year. And of those that were unranked, only 3 of the 8 teams even got votes. That is hard to do since basically these are all big schools that just by playing each other rack up points.

This is what makes it fun. I'm not going to stress out about it. I hope we can get to a bowl game, and can see a way there with a dual threat QB in Berglund. Hopefully that comes true.

[MeanGreen61]

"The Mean Green should be better, but...................."

I am so sick of the above................ I want to see WINS and not a string of lame excuses for loses. To me this is a pivotal year for Coach Mac. He needs to put some W's on the scoreboard, or we need to shop for a new coach. Losing and mediocre seasons need to become a thing of the past at North Texas. I have no more patience for poor performance and excuses.

[shaft]

Another way to look at the CFN pre-season, spring prediction is...

There are only two guaranteed wins on the schedule (Idaho, UTSA), and there is only one guaranteed loss (GA) everything else is going to be a fight.

But isn't that want you want as a fan? Don't you want to see your team come out ahead in these 50/50 games?

Edited February 16, 2013 by shaft

[emmitt01]

Cue the comments that CFN doesn't do their homework about us, doesn't know about Berglund, or is biased against the mid majors.

[BillySee58]

I like the way we play at Apogee, especially when we have a balanced offense

[Harry]

Berglund. That is the key.

[meangreener]

And we play hard at Apogee. Looking at our roster and schedule, I see a minimum of 6 wins. This is our year to make a splash and we will. Oh, and Berglund.

I hope to God we don't go 2-10 or our attendance may dip into four digits.

Edited February 16, 2013 by meangreener

[rws69]

You need to reconsider the Rice game. Check out what they did last year and who they have returning. The only thing that gives us even a glimmer of hope in this game is that it is at Apogee.

Ohio is much the same, except we play them on the road. That one is a loss.

I am not writing off game against Ohio. Sure, they went 9-4, but four wins game against teams with a combined 5-43 record and three other wins came against teams with losing records. Yes, they won at State College in the season opener against a still shocked Penn State team. And yes, they beat an inconsistent ULM team in a bowl game. Point is that 9-4 record is not as impressive as it looks.