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Posted (edited)

North Texas (1-5) at Troy (4-2) 3:30 EST

Why to watch: Has North Texas started to turn things around? With its first win of the year, beating UL Monroe 31-21, the defense showed up for the first time, while the offense had a strong, balanced game with few mistakes. Now the competition takes an upturn with Troy coming in off dominant wins over UL Monroe and FIU. With three road games ahead, including a showdown with Arkansas State and an interesting non-conference game against Georgia, the defending Sun Belt champs need to get in, get out, and get on with its season, while North Texas can make a name for itself with a huge upset win.

Why North Texas might win: If that North Texas passing attack ever wanted to gear it up and get rolling, this should be the time. Troy hasn't faced anyone over the last month that can throw with any efficiency, and while North Texas is hardly consistent, if it wants to, it can throw and throw and throw some more. Florida International was able to crank out 248 passing yards last week, and if UNT QB Giovanni Vizza can get hot, the Mean Green should be able to bomb away for 300 yards.

Why Troy might win: North Texas was able to beat ULM because the Warhawks gave up three big interceptions it couldn't overcome. While Trojan QB Omar Haugabook has had problems in the past with interceptions, Troy has been great in turnover margin this year, with a solid +1, good for 17th in the nation. North Texas needs Troy to self-destruct, and it isn't going to happen, while the Mean Green defense will have a nightmare of a time with the balanced Trojan attack that can put up points in bunches early.

Who to watch: As if North Texas didn't have enough to freak out about, it can play great on both sides of the ball, and then have its heart ripped out by a big punt return. Troy's Leodis McKelvin has been incredible over the first six games, averaging 25.6 yards per punt return with two touchdowns, including one last week, and 21 yards per kickoff return. The UNT special teams have been average at best.

What will happen: North Texas is playing better, but Troy is too strong in all phases to not with in a walk. The Mean Green defense won't be able to handle the Troy balance.

CFN Prediction: Troy 38 ... North Texas 17 ... Line: Troy -18

PREDICTIONS / COMMENTS

http://cfn.scout.com/2/651734.html

Edited by MeanGreen61

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