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Who did we play that wasn't rebuilding in some way? Utah State had lost 2 of their 3 top players to the portal and was breaking in a new head coach when we played them. Every team has transfers. Some more than others, sure, but every team has transfers. Watch enough college ball and you'll see even the SEC has D2 transfers.
To answer your question, I don't think our chances of beating High Point, Utah State, or McNeese is any better today than when we first played them.
UTSA blew our chances for sure. I kept hoping Minnesota and Oregon State would go on a run, but I guess that says a lot about our lack of quality wins.
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