Memphis beat us once this year and UAB 3 times. The Blazers won 2 of 3 against UNT. We beat them at home on a last second 3 pointer. Both teams were better than us. We are a one bid conference unless we have a nationally ranked team that loses the conference tournament.
Who did we play that wasn't rebuilding in some way? Utah State had lost 2 of their 3 top players to the portal and was breaking in a new head coach when we played them. Every team has transfers. Some more than others, sure, but every team has transfers. Watch enough college ball and you'll see even the SEC has D2 transfers.
To answer your question, I don't think our chances of beating High Point, Utah State, or McNeese is any better today than when we first played them.
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