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Posted (edited)

Excluding Memphis, out of a possible 156 non-conference games, the other 12 teams in the AAC this season scheduled 45 games (28.8%) against sub-300 KenPom teams or non-Division I opponents. The primary offenders were Tulsa (six), UAB, South Florida, Tulane, East Carolina and Rice (five apiece).

AAC commissioner Tim Pernetti says it has March Madness problem

Edited by MCMLXXX
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Posted

UAB in the same boat as us (no one wants to play them).   
SouthFL likely in the same boat pre-coach Abdur Rahim's passing.   

Tulsa/Tulane/ECU/Rice... just looking for wins to pad schedule.

Wonder what Pernetti's solution is?   In this article, he just pointed at the "guidance that's already in place"... OK, well, that's obviously not working as it should.

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Posted

With the assumption that other conferences want to improve their OOC scheduling as well, isn't it going to be hard for teams like Tulsa (285), Charlotte (262) or UTSA (200) to improve their strength of schedule?  Other teams looking to improve theirs won't want to play 200+ Kenpom teams.  It becomes a hole you can't dig yourself out of.  

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Posted
2 hours ago, keith said:

With the assumption that other conferences want to improve their OOC scheduling as well, isn't it going to be hard for teams like Tulsa (285), Charlotte (262) or UTSA (200) to improve their strength of schedule?  Other teams looking to improve theirs won't want to play 200+ Kenpom teams.  It becomes a hole you can't dig yourself out of.  

Each of those schools have at least 2 losses to teams in the 200+ range of NET rankings with Tulsa having 4 such losses and not a single one of those three has a winning OOC record. With the weak OOC schedules most of our conference is playing, there's no reason any team should have a losing record. To your point, if Tulsa, Charlotte, and UTSA would just handle business in OOC, they could boost their NET rankings  a good deal and maybe attract decent early season tournament invites for the following season. As it is, any team that loses to a UTSA, Tulsa, Charlotte, or even Rice immediately loses any credibility.

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Posted
1 hour ago, GMG_Dallas said:

Each of those schools have at least 2 losses to teams in the 200+ range of NET rankings with Tulsa having 4 such losses and not a single one of those three has a winning OOC record. With the weak OOC schedules most of our conference is playing, there's no reason any team should have a losing record. To your point, if Tulsa, Charlotte, and UTSA would just handle business in OOC, they could boost their NET rankings  a good deal and maybe attract decent early season tournament invites for the following season. As it is, any team that loses to a UTSA, Tulsa, Charlotte, or even Rice immediately loses any credibility.

GIF by Got Talent Global

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Posted
5 hours ago, GMG_Dallas said:

Yup... it is what it is. You can't lose to the 213th ranked team at home and expect to be taken seriously by national media.

Especially when you have almost 0 room for error to get an at-large. It really does suck.

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Posted (edited)
On 3/5/2025 at 9:28 AM, dml7007 said:

Need to schedule a saturday Mountain West vs AAC, and you play 1 v 1, 2 v 2......... This way you will end up with some potential Q1 wins.  

 

On 3/5/2025 at 10:27 AM, MrAlien said:

The mountain west is the conference the AAC should be looking at, they are almost always a 3-4 bid conference.

Or, hear me out, we do everything possible to get into the new PAC where most of those 3-4 MWC bids will be playing starting next year. Quad 1 and 2 opponents almost every game.

Edited by GMG_Dallas
Spelling... dang auto correct
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Posted
2 hours ago, GMG_Dallas said:

 

Or, here me out, we do everything possible to get into the new PAC where most of those 3-4 MWC bids will be playing starting next year. Quad 1 and 2 opponents almost every game.

The PAC took many of the MWC bids. It is going to be a really quality basketball conference also adding Gonzaga and St. Mary’s.

Hello Jared….?…..?….

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Posted (edited)

We had some cupcakes this season that made our home schedule unappealing but overall played some solid non-conference teams (and lost to the ones that would have helped us most). Our conference mates definitely didn’t help our schedule. AAC fairly soft this year. 

Edited by 97and03
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Posted
2 hours ago, NT80 said:

The PAC took many of the MWC bids. It is going to be a really quality basketball conference also adding Gonzaga and St. Mary’s.

Hello Jared….?…..?….

All of those bids directly result in tournament credits which means more money per program in the conference. For this reason, I think we have an opening into the PAC. Why would they want UTSA AND Texas State when neither will do anything towards getting an at-large bid which means they'd be paying credit distributions to two schools who aren't contributing to the credits earned. There's only so many leeches a conference can absorb. 

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Posted

My hope is that we finally realize how to sell our program. We haven’t made enough of a consistent splash to be a sexy name, but we are a probable quad 1 matchup that you probably think is a guaranteed win, but even if you lose, it’s a quad 1 loss. 
 

kinda like what western Kentucky was until recently 

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Posted
On 3/4/2025 at 6:47 PM, GMG_Dallas said:

Each of those schools have at least 2 losses to teams in the 200+ range of NET rankings with Tulsa having 4 such losses and not a single one of those three has a winning OOC record. With the weak OOC schedules most of our conference is playing, there's no reason any team should have a losing record. To your point, if Tulsa, Charlotte, and UTSA would just handle business in OOC, they could boost their NET rankings  a good deal and maybe attract decent early season tournament invites for the following season. As it is, any team that loses to a UTSA, Tulsa, Charlotte, or even Rice immediately loses any credibility.

So, we lost credibility per your definition b/c we lost to UTSA?

Posted
2 minutes ago, UNT Family Man said:

So, we lost credibility per your definition b/c we lost to UTSA?

Well... that loss did knock us out of the 8 bubble slots that we were squarely sitting in. If menory is right, we were in the group of next 4 out at the time of that loss. So, he's correct. 

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Posted
2 hours ago, NorthTexasWeLove said:

Well... that loss did knock us out of the 8 bubble slots that we were squarely sitting in. If menory is right, we were in the group of next 4 out at the time of that loss. So, he's correct. 

It does suck that the lone home loss in a remarkable 15-1 campaign was to 1 of like 3 teams in the league you simply couldn’t afford to drop one to. A more “reasonable” home loss to middle of AAC team or above and we’re still squarely in the bubble conversation. Memphis, UNT and UAB are all NCAA Tournament caliber teams.

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Posted

Same thing happened when we lost to UTEP a few years back.  We were definitely well into the conversation even though CUSA had not really ever been considered for 2 bids.  We go lose that game the last week of February out in El Paso by 2 and all hopes are gone.

Posted

The announcers stated during last night's game that Lunardi had us at the very bottom of the teams on the bubble.

Speaking of this windbag, Lunardi would be the 11th pick for a 5 on 5 game.  He's like Mel Kiper.  Never played, but found a nitche and stuck to it.  ESPN, proving they are morons managing money, hired this dude as "Bracketologist".

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