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Prediction vs Army


NT93

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Since the current coaching regime has been in place (start of last season) North Texas is 0-8 against FBS opponents that finished the regular season .500 or better last season or currently are .500 or better.  The average score has been 48-30.  If I were to calculate the average deficit at the end of the first half in such games, my head would explode.  Suffice it to say, there just is no evidence to suggest we have a chance to win.  

Army - as many points as they need to score to win comfortably and feel good about themselves

NT - around 30

Edited by Greendylan
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What’s the most points we’ve given up this year? 66 to Tech? 52 to Memphis? Don’t remember if any of those were defensive TDs….

Army has gone over 40 five times this year. Hit 49 once. 

we have to have the worst D they’ve face right? 

How are they going to score less than 50 on us? Why wouldn’t they hit 60?

We have to score on every single possession to have a chance to win this game. (Like Navy in the Dodge years) If we punt once or have 1 turnover we lose. 

I would say a final score of Army 66 - UNT 45 is probably what we’re looking at….

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We hold Army to less than 50 points and the more optimistic of us feel pretty good about it afterwards. We hold them to field goals when they need touchdowns and even get a few key 3rd and 4th down stops. Morris has a great game, lots of receivers catch balls and score points, our running backs surprise us, and Coach goes for the points when last week he would’ve taken the risk on 4th down. Nguma has his best game yet.
 

NT- 61

Army- 46

 

GMG

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On 11/4/2024 at 3:15 PM, TheColonyEagle said:

What’s the most points we’ve given up this year? 66 to Tech? 52 to Memphis? Don’t remember if any of those were defensive TDs….

Army has gone over 40 five times this year. Hit 49 once. 

we have to have the worst D they’ve face right? 

How are they going to score less than 50 on us? Why wouldn’t they hit 60?

We have to score on every single possession to have a chance to win this game. (Like Navy in the Dodge years) If we punt once or have 1 turnover we lose. 

I would say a final score of Army 66 - UNT 45 is probably what we’re looking at….

Yeah, we're #121, but it's not like they've been facing lots of top 50 defenses:
ECU  #94
UAB  #91
Tulsa  #123
FAU   #107
Rice  #23
Temple #93
AFA #68

The worst thing is that I just don't think we can stop them.  Many times in the recent games, our D has gotten a 3-and-out, but a lot of those were due to questionable calls by the other offense or bad/dropped passes on 3rd and 6.  If they hand the ball to someone and drag us for 8 yds every play or run for 35 on a sweep, there's not much chance of them shooting themselves in the foot.  I don't see us stripping 3 fumbles from their RBs.

 

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16 hours ago, meaniegreenie said:

Yeah, we're #121, but it's not like they've been facing lots of top 50 defenses:
ECU  #94
UAB  #91
Tulsa  #123
FAU   #107
Rice  #23
Temple #93
AFA #68

The worst thing is that I just don't think we can stop them.  Many times in the recent games, our D has gotten a 3-and-out, but a lot of those were due to questionable calls by the other offense or bad/dropped passes on 3rd and 6.  If they hand the ball to someone and drag us for 8 yds every play or run for 35 on a sweep, there's not much chance of them shooting themselves in the foot.  I don't see us stripping 3 fumbles from their RBs.

 

Army has one turnover all season. We average more than that per game. 

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