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Tulsa allowed an average of 366 yards coming into yesterday. We racked up 620, 254 over their season average against other opponents.
South Alabama has averaged allowing 421 yards since we played them. We had 550, 129 over their season average against other opponents.
Wyoming has averaged allowing 375 yards per game outside of when they played us. We had 534 against them, 159 over their season average against other opponents.
We are an extremely large part of why these teams are ranked so low defensively. These defenses not being great doesn’t change the fact that we are exposing them in ways that other teams are not. We are outperforming their other opponents by very large amounts.
This is a simplistic outlook. Stats give us data that serve as a foundation for predicting future win/loss outcomes.
If you choose not to use that data, that’s fine. Just waiting for the result to happen is cool. But to act like stats don’t serve any application and reducing to a quick, snappy statement like “stats are for dads” is just a very short-sighted approach.
I agree. Feels clear now.
Ward, Conwright, and Aaron is a serviceable outside trio but not much behind them. Hopefully we can give Morris an A+ for playing without two of them for most of these last two games, but also not make him have to deal with that again.
South Alabama is a good team. If Lopez plays against Ohio, they beat them instead of losing to them by a touchdown. Then they had to play at LSU. ESPN’s matchup predictor gives South Alabama a 65% chance or better to win each of their remaining games, except at Louisiana where it’s 55%.
When the season is over we’ll look back at that opener as one of our better non-conference wins in recent years. But definitely get your point. We have a good team. Bad or average teams don’t do what we just saw. We have 3 good teams left on our schedule. Hope we make those opportunities count now that we have the team to do so.
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