S&P+ Win Likelihoods

[AustinFromUNT]

S&P+ is the deepest diving metric in CFB and was formulated by Bill Connelly at SBNation who is very well respected among all college football observers. Here is the likelihood of each win total in the regular season for us:

2-10: 0.0%

3-9: 0.0%

4-8: 0.0%

5-7: 0.0%

6-6: 0.5%

7-5: 3.3%

8-4: 11.8%

9-3: 25.4%

10-2: 32.0%

11-1: 21.4%

12-0: 5.7%

If you had told me 3 years ago we were more likely to go undefeated than 7-5 I would have laughed and laughed and laughed.

[outoftown]

hmmm. that is 59% to get at least 10 wins, from one of the most thought through statistical models out there, that really doesn't just look at wins and scores, but also how it happens. Wow. Partially that way though because the Conference is down.

 

Edited September 11, 2018 by outoftown

[DeepGreen]

Make no mistake, I want UNT to win all of the games on the schedule.  I am particularly interested in seeing us pound the schit out of Louisiana Tech, UAB, and Southern Miss.  You know, the "marquee" names in CUSA.