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Do some of these prognosticators even bother to look at last years records and how many players return?

I can't understand all this love for UAB.   They have 16 starters returning, NT has 17.  NT beat them last year and like NT they looked horrible in their bowl game a 41-6 loss to Ohio.  

UAB and several other teams are predicted to be significantly better, while NT is going to be substantially worse..  

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