Attendance Prediction Thread

VideoEagle · October 10, 2017

3 minutes ago, MeanGreenTexan said:

I'm talking about the: "Every other Saturday I might consider going to UNT, but today I'm definitely going to watch TX/OU."

So the chances of that group coming goes from about 3% to 0%. Again, it doesn't actually have a significant effect on the number of people at Apogee.

MeanGreenTexan · October 10, 2017

1 minute ago, TheColonyEagle said:

And you think that's more than a couple of hundred people?

Does our attendance only ebb/flow a "couple of hundred people" per week? If so, we would consistently be at around 19,500 & 20,500, right?

The die-hards are going to show up. Those are not the fans I'm talking about.

Cerebus · October 10, 2017

1 minute ago, VideoEagle said:

So the chances of that group coming goes from about 3% to 0%. Again, it doesn't actually have a significant effect on the number of people at Apogee.

Except that maybe 2% of our 300,000 area alumni. Or 6,000 people.

MeanGreenTexan · October 10, 2017

1 minute ago, VideoEagle said:

So the chances of that group coming goes from about 3% to 0%. Again, it doesn't actually have a significant effect on the number of people at Apogee.

3% of 200k = 6000 people! You sure it's even that high? We're likely talking 1.5% or less. That's still a huge number!

TheColonyEagle · October 10, 2017

1 minute ago, MeanGreenTexan said:

Does our attendance only ebb/flow a "couple of hundred people" per week? If so, we would consistently be at around 19,500 & 20,500, right?

The die-hards are going to show up. Those are not the fans I'm talking about.

The fans you are talking about....don't necessarily show up on other Saturdays either.... I know it ebbs and flows and I know we have die hards and fence sitters....I just don't think it has anything to do with TX/OU

3 minutes ago, Cerebus said:

Except that maybe 2% of our 300,000 area alumni. Or 6,000 people.

so that 6,000 people shows up on Saturdays TX/OU aren't playing?

I think I see your point....my point is I just think the TX/OU has a very small impact on attendance at Apogee stadium.

I don't see a large subtraction at Apogee becoming an addition to Fair Park

Again....maybe a couple hundred people..

MeanGreenTexan · October 10, 2017

1 minute ago, TheColonyEagle said:

The fans you are talking about....don't necessarily show up on other Saturdays either.... I know it ebbs and flows and I know we have die hards and fence sitters....I just don't think it has anything to do with TX/OU

so that 6,000 people shows up on Saturdays TX/OU aren't playing?

There are a myriad of factors that go into attendance. The Mean Green must be playing well enough to pique the casual fan's interest. They haven't been doing that over the past few seasons... but maybe they are now.

However, unfortunately, there is also a game that those same casual fans have grown up watching on TV every fall. You may very well be right, and it's only a "couple hundred". Or, it could be more.

I'm sorry if I made it sound like this is the only reason why our attendance would be lower than it should. I don't mean it that way... but this is really the only weekend that I would expect this kind of dent from that type of fan. So it stands to be mentioned.

Cerebus · October 10, 2017

7 minutes ago, TheColonyEagle said:

I think I see your point....my point is I just think the TX/OU has a very small impact on attendance at Apogee stadium.

I don't see a large subtraction at Apogee becoming an addition to Fair Park

Again....maybe a couple hundred people..

They don't HAVE to go to Fair Park. They can just stay home and watch Texas/OU on TV. Once they are doing that, they can pretty easily commit to staying home all day to watch CFB. I know a couple of alumni who are doing this.

TheColonyEagle · October 10, 2017

Just now, Cerebus said:

They don't HAVE to go to Fair Park. They can just stay home and watch Texas/OU on TV. Once they are doing that, they can pretty easily commit to staying home all day to watch CFB. I know a couple of alumni who are doing this.

2 minutes ago, MeanGreenTexan said:

There are a myriad of factors that go into attendance. The Mean Green must be playing well enough to pique the casual fan's interest. They haven't been doing that over the past few seasons... but maybe they are now.

However, unfortunately, there is also a game that those same casual fans have grown up watching on TV every fall. You may very well be right, and it's only a "couple hundred". Or, it could be more.

I'm sorry if I made it sound like this is the only reason why our attendance would be lower than it should. I don't mean it that way... but this is really the only weekend that I would expect this kind of dent from that type of fan. So it stands to be mentioned.

Fair enough....I see what your saying.

I don't necessarily have data to back up my opinion....just a gut feeling.

I'm stating a conclusion I've drawn solely on my own personal point of view as facts...which is my job as a poster on a fan message board...

MeanGreenTexan · October 10, 2017

3 minutes ago, TheColonyEagle said:

Fair enough....I see what your saying.

I don't necessarily have data to back up my opinion....just a gut feeling.

I'm stating a conclusion I've drawn solely on my own personal point of view as facts...which is my job as a poster on a fan message board...

Glad we're all on the same page then!

TheColonyEagle · October 10, 2017

10 minutes ago, MeanGreenTexan said:

Glad we're all on the same page then!

same page about beer....and our responsibility as GMG posters....yes ;-)

I still don't think TX/OU has that much influence on our attendance....but again...just my gut feeling...

Mad Hatter · October 10, 2017

If UTSA brings folks I'm going to say 24,500.

Withers940 · October 10, 2017

Give me 25,001 Bob

aztecskin · October 10, 2017

2 hours ago, TheColonyEagle said:

So about the TX/OU game.

I wonder how much that really affects our attendance. Does it really have a big impact? So do people that would normally go to Apogee go buy tickets and go to the TX/OU game? They're fans of TX or OU? They're big college football fans?

I just don't know how many people that would otherwise be in Denton make it an annual thing to go to that game?

I mean does that affect what, 200 people maybe ?More than that?

I'm honestly asking because I don't know. Maybe I'm way off but I don't understand why that has such an impact in UNT home games. Are there that many die hard TX or OU fans in Denton?

Its more that they would probably stay home and watch the game than anything. Even though the game will be over by the time ours starts, by then momentum has them on the couch.

keith · October 10, 2017

40 minutes ago, TheColonyEagle said:

same page about beer....and our responsibility as GMG posters....yes ;-)

I still don't think TX/OU has that much influence on our attendance....but again...just my gut feeling...

Thank God it's not the start of hunting season.

Matt from A700 · October 10, 2017

23,816

GrayEagle · October 10, 2017

I'll take 24,368, Chuck.

Let those who want to watch Texas-OU record it and watch it later (after they get home from Apogee).

Edited October 10, 2017 by GrayEagle

MeanGreen_MBA · October 10, 2017

35,624.....

kj86 · October 10, 2017

22,000

and put me down as one who doesn't think Texas/OU has any measurable impact on our attendance. Dilly dilly!

akriesman · October 10, 2017

23,650

I still think most casual fans will think UTSA is some kind of community college. They would of course be correct :)

MeanGreenTexan · October 10, 2017

We also should put these attendance figures in context...
For all of you predicting upward of 23k, that would put this game in the top 5 all-time for Apogee.

Ryan Munthe · October 10, 2017

8 minutes ago, MeanGreenTexan said:

We also should put these attendance figures in context...
For all of you predicting upward of 23k, that would put this game in the top 5 all-time for Apogee.

Correct. We had a huge turnout when we played UTEP, no reason this one can’t be.

RBP79 · October 10, 2017

23,633...............hope its more...a lot more.

golfingomez · October 10, 2017

2 hours ago, Withers940 said:

Give me 25,001 Bob

I'll go with 25,002!

UNTexas · October 10, 2017

4 hours ago, keith said:

Let's see, the game is being televised locally...WTH, why? And there will be some sort of ticketing, congestion, long line "issue." Both will cause attendance to be lighter than it could be. I'm going with 24,002.

I think it's on ESPN 3 as well.

22,500...

Edited October 10, 2017 by UNTexas