UNT Opens As 4.5 Point Dogs At Home

MGNation92 · October 8, 2017

http://www.oddsshark.com/ncaaf/utsa-north-texas-odds-october-14-2017-792803

I had this game pinned as a loss before the season. I'm worried the team comes out rusty and under performs against UT San Antonio. I hope they prove me wrong.

Ryan Munthe · October 8, 2017

That’s odd, ESPN has us as favorites.

THOR · October 8, 2017

5 minutes ago, Ryan Munthe said:

That’s odd, ESPN has us as favorites.

Vegas is smarter than espn...

TheColonyEagle · October 8, 2017

This is a relief.

11 minutes ago, THOR said:

Vegas is smarter than espn...

They weren't very smart when we went to Hattiesburg....

;-)

NorthTexan95 · October 8, 2017

4.5 dog at home ... that's an easy call for UNT.

Withers940 · October 8, 2017

Im hoping that English comes back this week. I think he will make a big impact on pressuring Sturm and forcing Sturm to make questionable decisions. This game will be won at the line of scrimmage

Mad Hatter · October 8, 2017

Not favored when you're still undefeated in conference play.......at home. Hope that fires up the team. Everyone still thinks we're a fluke.

Green Crazy · October 8, 2017

It's not a bad place to be. Hopefully first place in the division and being a dog at home motivates them this week.

I wouldn't expect English to play. No practice yet after sitting out for 8 weeks doesn't set up well.

GTWT · October 8, 2017

1 hour ago, THOR said:

Vegas is smarter than espn...

Vegas sets a line to achieve equal $$$ bet on each side. They're not really saying that UTSA is 4.5 pts better than UNT.

UNTLifer · October 9, 2017

Actually glad to see this to piss off the team. Honestly, the lack of respect pisses me off!

dmaxel · October 9, 2017

1 hour ago, GTWT said:

Vegas sets a line to achieve equal $$$ bet on each side. They're not really saying that UTSA is 4.5 pts better than UNT.

They might not be saying that directly, but it's a logical consequence of trying to even out the betting sides. If they were to do it straight, then there'd be more money on the UTSA side, meaning that they think UTSA is better.

VideoEagle · October 9, 2017

24 minutes ago, dmaxel said:

They might not be saying that directly, but it's a logical consequence of trying to even out the betting sides. If they were to do it straight, then there'd be more money on the UTSA side, meaning that they think UTSA is better.

The purpose of the betting line is to make the total amounts bet on each side roughly equal. The people setting the line don't care in the least who wins as long as roughly the same amount is bet on each side. They think more people will bet on UTSA. If you ever listen to any of the betting advice services, they will tell you the line and the likely winner are reversed quite often.

DeepGreen · October 9, 2017

Total disrespect towards North Texas.

TheColonyEagle · October 9, 2017

Just now, DeepGreen said:

Total disrespect towards North Texas.

100%

MGNation92 · October 9, 2017

12 minutes ago, DeepGreen said:

Total disrespect towards North Texas.

Or historically accurate. Until we can prove we can beat these guys, they’ve had our number, and people will continue to believe they’ll have our number.

Sure they lost to Southern Miss, but they’ll come back and probably beat us. Such is the North Texas way.

Mean Green 93-98 · October 9, 2017

12 minutes ago, MGNation92 said:

. . . but they’ll come back and probably beat us. Such is the North Texas way.

And predicting your own team to lose to avoid getting your hopes up is the North Texas fan's defense mechanism.

MGNation92 · October 9, 2017

1 minute ago, Mean Green 93-98 said:

And predicting your own team to lose to avoid getting your hopes up is the North Texas fan's defense mechanism.

Can’t be disappointed in a loss if you expect to lose every game.

Ryan Munthe · October 9, 2017

4 hours ago, THOR said:

Vegas is smarter than espn...

I don’t gamble because it’s a suckers game. Have no idea how it works. Thought ESPN pulled from vegas.

DeepGreen · October 9, 2017

47 minutes ago, MGNation92 said:

Or historically accurate. Until we can prove we can beat these guys, they’ve had our number, and people will continue to believe they’ll have our number.

Sure they lost to Southern Miss, but they’ll come back and probably beat us. Such is the North Texas way.

Enough with them negative waves!

VideoEagle · October 9, 2017

5 minutes ago, DeepGreen said:

Enough with them negative waves!

oldguystudent · October 9, 2017

ITT - lots of misunderstanding on how betting lines work even though there are a couple explanations scattered within.

AustinFromUNT · October 9, 2017

Has now moved to 4.0

MeanGreenTexan · October 9, 2017

11 hours ago, DeepGreen said:

Total disrespect towards North Texas.

Not disrespect from Vegas line-setters. Disrespect from the betting public at large.
NT still hasn't done anything to prove to Joe Gambler that they deserve to be favored.

Again, as much as we can justify it away (for real, in very justifiable ways... Baylor is winless), UTSA beat Big-12-Baylor. That apparently still means something to Joe Gambler.

DeepGreen · October 9, 2017

54 minutes ago, MeanGreenTexan said:

Not disrespect from Vegas line-setters. Disrespect from the betting public at large.
NT still hasn't done anything to prove to Joe Gambler that they deserve to be favored.

Again, as much as we can justify it away (for real, in very justifiable ways... Baylor is winless), UTSA beat Big-12-Baylor. That apparently still means something to Joe Gambler.

Waaay too much logic in your post.