ESPN Matchup Predictor

[AustinFromUNT]

ESPN has updated their predictions for how they think we will matchup against each team (win percentage). They are:

Vs Lamar: 90.4%

@ SMU: 18.6%

@ Iowa: 5.8%

Vs UAB: 63.5%

@ Southern Miss: 25.9%

Vs UTSA: 47.2%

@ FAU: 27.7%

Vs ODU: 45.2%

@ LA Tech: 21.3%

Vs UTEP: 69%

Vs Army: 28.5%

@ Rice: 44.5%

So there are 3 games where we are outright favored (us by more than 10%): Lamar, UAB, and UTEP

3 Toss up games (within 10%): UTSA, ODU, and Rice

3 Possible games (at least 25% chance): Army, Southern Miss, and FAU.

3 long shots (less than 25%): Iowa, SMU, and LA Tech.

I think our best chance to win in the possible category would be FAU.

Best chance in long shot would be: SMU

Best chance in toss up: Rice

Game we're most likely to squander: UTEP.

Thoughts?

Also of note before the season started last year we were only favored in 1 game (BC) and had much lower chances in all other games.

[NorthTexan95]

Don't understand how we can be so low against SMU.  

[@UNTSportsFan]

1 hour ago, NorthTexan95 said:

Don't understand how we can be so low against SMU.  

On the road , Morris now in 3rd year , his recruiting  has been very good... I'm guessing we will be 9-10 point underdogs 

Edited July 7, 2017 by @UNTSportsFan

[Travis]

This kind of stuff makes me laugh.

[Mean Green 93-98]

31 minutes ago, @UNTSportsFan said:

On the road , Morris now in 3rd year , his recruiting  has been very good... I'm guessing we will be 9-10 point underdogs 

I would have to think these dudes who only give us 18.6% chance of winning would predict a much wider margin of loss than that.

[@UNTSportsFan]

15 minutes ago, Mean Green 93-98 said:

I would have to think these dudes who only give us 18.6% chance of winning would predict a much wider margin of loss than that.

I was trying to be nice :) ... If I were to bet money on what the  actual spread would be , I'd say 14 

Edited July 7, 2017 by @UNTSportsFan

[AustinFromUNT]

2 minutes ago, @UNTSportsFan said:

I was trying to be nice :) ... If I were to bet money on what the  actual spread would be , I'd say 14 

I'm thinking the spread will be 17. I'm thinking the Iowa spread will be 35.

[MeanGreen_MBA]

22 minutes ago, AustinFromUNT said:

I'm thinking the spread will be 17. I'm thinking the Iowa spread will be 35.

Iowa might watch out. Lost a lot from a year ago. 

[Ben Gooding]

4 hours ago, NorthTexan95 said:

Don't understand how we can be so low against SMU.  

Let me spell it out for you..

R. E. C. R. U. I. T. I. N. G. 

Do not be surprised to see smug wipe the floor with us this year...That's unfortunately where their recruiting is compared to ours. I can't recall, off the top of my head, a time that we legitimately beat them out for a recruit head to head in the recent past. It will more than likely show its ugly head this fall. Our only hope in that game will be for our D to ball out, with a couple timely turnovers. We may even need points out of those turnovers. 

[GMG24]

1 hour ago, Ben Gooding said:

Let me spell it out for you..

R. E. C. R. U. I. T. I. N. G. 

Do not be surprised to see smug wipe the floor with us this year...That's unfortunately where their recruiting is compared to ours. I can't recall, off the top of my head, a time that we legitimately beat them out for a recruit head to head in the recent past. It will more than likely show its ugly head this fall. Our only hope in that game will be for our D to ball out, with a couple timely turnovers. We may even need points out of those turnovers. 

Sam Rice left their program to join ours.  

[BTG_Fan1]

5 hours ago, @UNTSportsFan said:

On the road , Morris now in 3rd year , his recruiting  has been very good... I'm guessing we will be 9-10 point underdogs 

Because they have a QB who has produced... and our OL is still viewed as liability.

[VideoEagle]

We aren't sure who starters for either team are going to be, but they can predict the outcome of the game? Are they predicting the cloud cover that day also?

[Ben Gooding]

7 hours ago, GMG24 said:

Sam Rice left their program to join ours.  

 Get serious. You know what I'm talking about, and you know that I'm right. I know it sucks, but it's the reality that we're in. 

[GMG24]

47 minutes ago, Ben Gooding said:

 Get serious. You know what I'm talking about, and you know that I'm right. I know it sucks, but it's the reality that we're in. 

Lighten up a bit.  You'll be pleasantly surprised with what freshman do get to play this year.  Darden is steal of the class I think.  Just think we were UH away from getting Devodrick Bynum and Tre'von Bradley away from the class being pretty dang dynamic from an offensive standpoint. 

[MGNation92]

1 hour ago, Ben Gooding said:

 Get serious. You know what I'm talking about, and you know that I'm right. I know it sucks, but it's the reality that we're in. 

Didn't Tyreke Davis report an SMU offer pretty soon after we offered?

 

Edited July 7, 2017 by MGNation92

[Aldo]

17 hours ago, NorthTexan95 said:

Don't understand how we can be so low against SMU.  

3 words: Courtland M'Fing Sutton

[Withers940]

4 hours ago, VideoEagle said:

We aren't sure who starters for either team are going to be, but they can predict the outcome of the game? Are they predicting the cloud cover that day also?

Here you go

Vs Lamar: 5% Cloud Cover Temperature: HOT

@ SMU: 10% Cloud Cover Temperature: HOT

@ Iowa: 22.1% Cloud Cover Temperature: Warm/HOT

Vs UAB: 15% Cloud Cover Temperature: Cooling Off but Still HOT

@ Southern Miss: 20% Cloud Cover Temperature: Warm/Hot

Vs UTSA: 67% Cloud Cover Temperature: Mild

@ FAU: 85% Cloud Cover Temperature: Warm & Breezy 

Vs ODU: 55% Cloud Cover Temperature: Mild

@ LA Tech: 64% Cloud Cover Temperature: Swampy/Musty

Vs UTEP: 76% Cloud Cover Temperature: Comfortable 

Vs Army: 26.4% Cloud Cover Temperature: Windy/Mild

@ Rice: 95.3% Cloud Cover Temperature: Humid 

[Ben Gooding]

7 hours ago, GMG24 said:

Lighten up a bit.  You'll be pleasantly surprised with what freshman do get to play this year.  Darden is steal of the class I think.  Just think we were UH away from getting Devodrick Bynum and Tre'von Bradley away from the class being pretty dang dynamic from an offensive standpoint. 

I hope. And landing Tre'von would've been huge for UNT. He has All conference kind of talent and will be really good for UH. No knock on him, but just reading his name kind of pisses me off a little. Moreso torward UH than him of course. 

6 hours ago, MGNation92 said:

Didn't Tyreke Davis report an SMU offer pretty soon after we offered?

 

Yes, I believe he did. I actually believe he got that offer even after he committed to us. That kind of shows he stuck to his guns and stayed with us. So, there is 1 that I forgot about. But I think the point is made. They have been landing 10-15 three stars a class ever since Morris got to smu.