5 to go

[wardly]

With 5 to go, lets look at the games we should win,could win, and probably wont win, with the understanding that we probably wont get 7 turnovers in any of these.First, two I don't see us winning are W.K. on the road and La. Tech at home. Both these teams are on a par with M.T.S.U.The Bulldogs lost to the Blue Raiders by 4 on the road,beat W.K. by 3 at home.The Hilltoppers beat M.T.S.U. by 1 at home.Second, we could beat So. Miss. at home and U.T.S.A. on the road.I was surprised that the Roadrunners beat So. Miss. by 23 at home. then lost to UTEP by 3 on the road in 5 overtimes.We must win one of these two games, and should beat U.T.E.P on the road to end the regular season. Our path to 6 wins gets easier if we beat U.T.S.A this weekend.We both beat Rice in Houston, UNT by 7 in overtime, and U.T.S.A. by 1 point in regulation. On paper this game should be a pick-em, but on paper a Bumblebee can't fly.On another note, I only saw 2 to 4 wins this season, and neither Marshall nor Army were among them, so my predictions should be taken with a grain of salt.

[SilverEagle]

At this point I think we are going to have to change our thinking about our team. According to "experts" we should have lost by 19 points yesterday.  Whatever we did against MT is not relevant now. We could have beaten them with a break or two going our way, and a better understanding and/or application of the system that the coaches have put in. 

Yesterday was a perfect example of that old saying "luck favors the well prepared". We get better every week. And I believe it's because we have a team that has totally bought into the coaching staff, and the system and the energy that they have brought in. 

Now, if we could only get the school, BAND, students, alumni and local residents to do the same.

[KingDL1]

@SilverEagleBill I am buying in. 

[EagleMBA]

My pre-season pick was four wins. At this point, any win we achieve is just gravy. IMO, this coaching staff and our players have outperformed, based on the hurdles they had to jump coming into the season. UTSA looms ahead as a possible trap game for us, coming off a big win, while nUTSAck is at home, pissed off and motivated to beat us. If we can get up to excise nUTSAck we could make it to seven wins and go bowling. What a start to the Seth Littrell era!

[NM Green]

Man I remember the frustration in that middle game of not being able to get the raiders off the field - so many long 3rd down conversions made.  Same with smu.  Our d plays bigger in a rematch and I think we have a chance at winning those games. That's going to be the ticket to more wins this year. 

GMG

[wardly]

With all due respect to Silver Eagle, no way we beat M.T.S.U. I only point out their performance against W.K., and La. Tech. for comparison against 2 teams we have yet to play.

[GreenTexan13]

Every game is winnable. A lot of people were talking about Army the same way I see WKU or LA Tech being brought up. Look what happened to Army yesterday... It's all irrelevant, let's try to think a little higher of this team now... They have already proved us wrong going 4-3 so far this year.

[VideoEagle]

1 hour ago, SilverEagle said:

According to "experts" we should have lost by 19 points yesterday.  

Actually, the line is the number of points needed to get an equal number of bets on each side.   The Volkswagen in Vegas don't care about the actual outcome as long as their is roughtly the same amount bet on both sides. Based on our last decade of performance, I'm sure there is a lot of bias against better on us without a lot of points. 

[golfingomez]

all i care about is going to San Antonio and playing as well as we did yesterday!

[TripleGrad]

One game at a time.

But I still like my 9-3 prediction.  Of course, I had SMU as a win, so I'm not so smart.

Edited October 23, 2016 by TripleGrad

[emmitt01]

1 hour ago, wardly said:

With all due respect to Silver Eagle, no way we beat M.T.S.U. I only point out their performance against W.K., and La. Tech. for comparison against 2 teams we have yet to play.

Disagree completely.  This team is for real, and improving each week.  

Army didn't GIVE us anything yesterday...we TOOK the ball seven times.  The attitude is "we are gonna keep punching you in the face until you yield" instead of last year's "we just want to be competitive".  

I am on the green kool-aid and I have a portable IV.  

[Ben Gooding]

I had us at 6-6 with smu as one of our W's. It still irks me that we lost that winnable game. It's a crapshoot at this point. We could very well beat La Tech in front of a record crowd on Nov 5th just to go on the road and lose the season finale in a let down game. 

[rws69]

I predicted 5-7, including wins against SMU, B-C, Army, UTSA, UTEP, and then one of the games against MTSU and LaTech. 

Instead, we lost to SMU (in first game for new coaches and systems), but won against Rice (in OT) and Marshall. 

Let's get a good turnout at UTSA (the band is going) and come home 5-3 (3-1 C-USA) to face LaTech. I never want to predict that we will lose, but WesternKY appears to be toughest game left on our schedule. 8-4 is within reach, and 7-5 is very much in play. Failing to hit 6-6 would be a surprise at this point.

 

Edited October 23, 2016 by rws69

[DallasGreen]

2 hours ago, golfingomez said:

all i care about is going to San Antonio and playing as well as we did yesterday!

I was there yesterday, and Army " gave" us nothing and Jenkins and Wilson were nothing short of phenomenal!

[SilverEagle]

3 hours ago, DallasGreen said:

I was there yesterday, and Army " gave" us nothing and Jenkins and Wilson were nothing short of phenomenal!

Were you in any of the crowd shots?

Edited October 24, 2016 by SilverEagle

[casual fan]

Western Kentucky is the least important game left.

If UNT beats UTEP, UTSA, LT, and S Miss, it would mean a division championship and a title game plus a bowl game.

Crazy talk at the first of the season, but not totally out of the realm of possibility now.  

 

[KRAM1]

39 minutes ago, SilverEagle said:

We you in any of the crowd shots?

He was sitting way up top in the end zone beside me and Ben Joiner.  We were pretty high to get in any crowd shots.  But we were pretty darn loud....that count?

[4MYMGE]

2 hours ago, KRAM1 said:

 But we were pretty darn loud....that count?

YES it does!

[BTG_Fan1]

I Just want 6 wins.. it would be great to get to the Cusa championship, but that additional month of training and practicing will be huge for this UNT team.. that will help these young guys a ton! 

[VideoEagle]

Going to the Championship Game gets us an extra week of practice beyond anything we get from a bowl. 

[risinggreen]

This ingrained negative crap has got to stop. We've lost to a team that just blew out Houston, a team that just beat Missouri, and Florida. They're all winnable from here on out.

[Matt from A700]

19 hours ago, SilverEagle said:

Now, if we could only get the school, BAND, students, alumni and local residents to do the same.

If we are 5-3 going into homecoming with a shot at bowl eligibility, I would be disappointed with anything under 25,000.

[wardly]

Why is it negative to predict wins and losses? Also, CUSA scheduling question. We drew MTSU and WK from the East, UTEP got FIU and FAU. Does this rotate every year?

[KingDL1]

19 hours ago, VideoEagle said:

Actually, the line is the number of points needed to get an equal number of bets on each side.   The Volkswagen in Vegas don't care about the actual outcome as long as their is roughtly the same amount bet on both sides. Based on our last decade of performance, I'm sure there is a lot of bias against better on us without a lot of points. 

Except they have expert handicappers that set the line to begin with, before bets are even taken for a particular game. 

[VideoEagle]

8 minutes ago, wardly said:

Why is it negative to predict wins and losses? Also, CUSA scheduling question. We drew MTSU and WK from the East, UTEP got FIU and FAU. Does this rotate every year?

Normally in a conference with division you play your crossover teams two years in a row, home and home. That has happened this year and last with us in CUSA. However, UAB is bringing back football next year which will change the rotation. I think we'll lose one crossover game so instead of 3 we'll have 2. I think it is highly unlikely our 2 will be Marshall, MTSU or WK as we've played them two years in a row but since there is a scheduling reset it's possible.

With the scheduling reset, I personally hope we can adjust so we divide up the CUSA Texas teams so we don't have an ALL home or ALL away schedule. Personally, I'd like to have a mix of Texas home and away games every year.