Based on the 6 games remaining - How will we end

[outoftown]

There is not single game I think we win for sure, and no game here I think we have no chance, since we have a whole lot of meh on the schedule, but are very meh ourselfes.

Totally arbitrarily, the chances think we got are:

USM: 70%

@Rice 20%

FAU: 60%

@UTEP: 50%

FIU: 70%

@UTSA: 20%

That would give: 6 wins: 0.6%, 5 wins or more 6.8%, 4 wins or more 29.4%, 3 wins or more: 64.4%, 2 wins or more 90%; 1 win or less: 10%

[gradumacated]

I predicted 4-8 before the start of the year, so I'm going for 2-4 the rest of the way. We may knock off two from USM, FAU, and FIU but I doubt we'll be competitive against Rice, UTEP, or UTSA - especially as they're all on the road.

Looking at this team, hearing Vito's reports during training camp, and realizing how many talented and significant seniors we graduated made me realize that all the sky-high hopes coming off of a bowl win were misplaced. With even one of Orr, Trice, or Abbe back I think this is a different defense. And that's been our Achilles heel all year - the offense has been up and down, but the defense hasn't produced against half-decent opponents. Pretty much the FBS version of SMU's offense or last year's Cowboys defense..

[Eagle1855]

There is not single game I think we win for sure, and no game here I think we have no chance, since we have a whole lot of meh on the schedule, but are very meh ourselfes.

Totally arbitrarily, the chances think we got are:

USM: 70%

@Rice 20%

FAU: 60%

@UTEP: 50%

FIU: 70%

@UTSA: 20%

That would give: 6 wins: 0.6%, 5 wins or more 6.8%, 4 wins or more 29.4%, 3 wins or more: 64.4%, 2 wins or more 90%; 1 win or less: 10%

Wow. You win.

[untbowler]

There is not single game I think we win for sure, and no game here I think we have no chance, since we have a whole lot of meh on the schedule, but are very meh ourselfes.

Totally arbitrarily, the chances think we got are:

USM: 70%

@Rice 20%

FAU: 60%

@UTEP: 50%

FIU: 70%

@UTSA: 20%

That would give: 6 wins: 0.6%, 5 wins or more 6.8%, 4 wins or more 29.4%, 3 wins or more: 64.4%, 2 wins or more 90%; 1 win or less: 10%

Sorry but unless the DLine and SEcondary have an epiphany this week, USM is going to shred them, their QB has thrown for 700 yds last 2 games

[MeanGreenWithEnvy]

Sat, Oct 18 vs Southern Miss --Win
Sat, Oct 25 @ Rice --Loss
Sat, Nov 8 vs Florida Atl -- Win
Sat, Nov 15 @ UTEP -- Loss*
Sat, Nov 22 vs FIU -- Loss*
Sat, Nov 29 @ UTSA -- Loss*

* These games will be losses if the O doesn't improve. If they respond to adversity and come together, I think some or all of these games could flip to wins.

The two areas where we can make realistic improvements are both on the offensive side of the ball: reduce turnovers and reduce 3-and-outs. This will take a group effort on the part of the OC, Dajon, and the whole unit coming together as a group.

A tremendous amount of this improvement hinges on Dajon. The thing that worried me the most in the UAB game was how dejected he looked and how dejected his body language looked. He wasn't the only one, though; it didn't look to me like his guys had much to say to him either in the huddle or on the sideline in his last two series. I know he had an epically bad game and I'd be even more worried if he looked happy or looked like he didn't care. Body language doesn't tell the whole story, but I'm still concerned.

This young man has the weight of this team and this season on his shoulders right now all while he is looking overwhelmed out on the field. I feel for him, that's a crap position to be in, but I hope that he will rise to the occasion.

The biggest thing that can be done for the defense is for the offense to keep them off the field. We don't have any magic defensive tackle beans nor magic corner beans. Maybe...MAYBE...we can at least get Lee back at one of the safety spots for the remaining games.

Edited October 13, 2014 by MeanGreenWithEnvy