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Official UAB Game Score Prediction Thread

MeanGreenTexan

By MeanGreenTexan
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MeanGreenTexan Grand Master

MeanGreenTexan

Posted
Posted

The rollercoaster ride continues this week when the Mean Green travel to Birmingham to take on the Blazers, who have found some offense this season.

So far, each week has been a polar opposite of the previous week. I see the trend continuing on Saturday when the Mean Green avenge a terrible outing in Indiana to make a statement, jumping back into the West Champ race.

Hope we get back to some power running with Pegram to set up the pass. That was something we abandoned last week.

Improvement on offense will be a must. I think the Defense will be able to play at UABs speed.

UAB is bringing us in as their Homecoming game. For some reason, this pisses off the Mean Green. This week will be no different.

UNT - 31

UAB - 17

  • Upvote 1
UNT90 Newbie

UNT90

Posted
Posted

Hate to do this, but 45-24 UAB.

Or UNT.

One thing is for sure, one way or another, it's gonna be a blow out.

UAB put up 600 yards on WKU, and the scary thing is they did it evenly (300 ground, 300 air).

We need turnovers this game. Lots of turnovers.

  • Upvote 1
Cerebus Experienced

Cerebus

Posted
Posted (edited)

This will be the most telling game of the season. Everything before DW became the starter doesn't reflect the the team now. Since DW became the starter we played a team we physically out classed and one that did the same to us. This game will tell us how we compete in conference this year.

Edited by Cerebus
  • Upvote 3
Tyler Maryak Newbie

Tyler Maryak

Posted
Posted

41-38 UNT.

I'm hoping that offense will really be clicking and can keep up with their scoring ability. I don't doubt that the defense will play well, I just expect UAB to keep doing what they've done so far this year and that's score a lot.

  • Upvote 1
pastorgrant Newbie

pastorgrant

Posted
Posted

UAB's offense looked great last week, scoring 42 points, but they did it against a WKU team that is one of the worst defenses in FBS, giving up an average of 38.4 points per game. They put up similar numbers on a similarly bad Troy defense and FCS Alabama A&M. A decent but overrated FIU defense held them to 20 (they average giving up 20.5 but they've had 2 games against FCS teams that padded their stats, 26.5 per game against FBS opponents).

UAB's offense is NOT anywhere near as good as Indiana's. If they put up 52 on us, like some of you think, then this defense's wheels have come completely off. That would mean our D played worse against them than winless (#108 defense) Troy, FCS Alabama A&M, and the #120 ranked D, WKU. I don't think our defense is that bad. La. Tech put up 42 on us, but our offense contributed a lot to that (we gave them the ball at the 2 and the 13 leading to 14 points), and La. Tech put up 48 on LaLa and 55 on UTEP. That's a seriously good offense.

Outside of their game against Mississippi State where they scored 34, they have put up pretty close to what their opposing defense is averaging. That Mississippi State game is a heck of a game. Got to give them props for that offensive performance.

On Defense, UAB is giving up 28.4 points per game, 32 per game against FBS teams.

So what does that boil down to? I really have no clue how this turns out, but I'm going to take a shot in the dark and say UNT 34 - UAB 31.

If we get blown out at UAB, we are probably looking at an ugly season.

  • Upvote 3
  • Downvote 1
GOMG2013 Newbie

GOMG2013

Posted
Posted

The right side of UABs oline is smaller than some teams we have played, C 282, RG 297, RT 278...so I hope we can do a better job of stopping the run.

Having a small DL should not be an excuse in this one.

Their LBs are small also M 214, W 225, S 197...hopefully we can get our running game going.

  • Upvote 1
ColoradoEagle Experienced

ColoradoEagle

Posted
Posted (edited)

UAB's offense looked great last week, scoring 42 points, but they did it against a WKU team that is one of the worst defenses in FBS, giving up an average of 38.4 points per game.

Going by Realtime RPI, WKU gave up 38.4 avg per game to opponents with an avg rank of 73.2. If you throw out Nicholls State (WKU hasn't played an FCS), we've given up 33.75 to opponents with an avg rank of 84.75.

WKU may be one of the worst defenses in FBS, but so are we. That Nicholls game is skewing stats and some of your perceptions.

Edited by ColoradoEagle
  • Upvote 1
Aldo Rookie

Aldo

Posted
Posted

I was feeling down, but pastorgrant and GOMG2013 really pumped me up!

Looking for a shootout with big games from the Williams (passing yards) and our TEs against those LBs.

38-27 UNT

NT93 Grand Master

NT93

Posted
Posted

This will be the most telling game of the season. Everything before DW became the starter doesn't reflect the the team now. Since DW became the starter we played a team we physically out classed and one that did the same to us. This game will tell us how we compete in conference this year.

True

Really, who knows...its a CUSA game. All these teams are just about the same and can win or lose against any of the others in the league.

And true.

41-38 UNT

pastorgrant Newbie

pastorgrant

Posted
Posted

Going by Realtime RPI, WKU gave up 38.4 avg per game to opponents with an avg rank of 73.2. If you throw out Nicholls State (WKU hasn't played an FCS), we've given up 33.75 to opponents with an avg rank of 84.75.

WKU may be one of the worst defenses in FBS, but so are we. That Nicholls game is skewing stats and some of your perceptions.

That's a huge exaggeration that these guys don't deserve. You are overreacting because we just played the #18 offense in the country and the #1 rusher and #7 rushing team last week. We aren't good enough at Defense to stop a team like that when they are also getting picks in our red zone, onside kicks, and taking 4 downs every time. Coleman averages almost 8 yards a carry on the year and they've played some good defenses. A lot of teams won't be able to keep them from scoring.

Here are how we rank on all the major defensive statistics compared to WKU:

Total Defense UNT #46, WKU #120

Scoring Defense UNT #77, WKU #114

Third Down Conversion Defense UNT #37, WKU #107

First Downs Defense UNT #27, WKU #107

Besides the obvious that it is not fair to our team to say this D is one of the worst defenses in FBS given the statistics, I would like to make a couple of points here. First, one of these rankings for the UNT defense is way out of whack from the rest—scoring defense. Why do you suppose that is? It is because our offense gave points and short fields away. Second, even if you take away our FCS game and let every other team in FBS keep theirs for stats, we would still be #96, 18 places above and nearly 5 points per game better than WKU. And that's our worst major defensive stat by far because of our hapless offense in the first 3 games, as I mentioned before.

Yet besides all of this, you think we will give up more points to UAB than anyone else has, even an FCS team.

We all need to give this team some credit and have some good ol' football faith that our defense will do enough to give us a shot to win.

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