New Orleans gets first pick of any Bowl Eligible Sun Belt team (this year, Go Daddy gets it next year). If New Orleans does not take the winner, then the GoDaddy.com Bowl is obligated to do so. The New Orleans Bowl will be inviting ULL, which means ASU will be invited to Mobile. The third bowl, the BBVA Compass Bowl is a secondary tie in. If the AQ conference cannot fill their spot, that bowl has their pick of any SBC bowl eligible team, which right now is FIU, with WKU and NT a possibility.
I have to believe if all three end up eligible, regardless or record, their wish list will be WKU, NT, then FIU, going off of potential ticket sales. WKU and NT also provide a better story to market than an FIU team with a non-existent fan base that fell off the football map in the middle of the year after starting undefeated.