SMU2006

Army, LA Tech, and Texas State are the ones that make the most sense IMO.

UT and OU negotiated out of a deal a whole one year early. FSU is locked into the GoR for another 13 years. Its not happening.

PAC media rights will be announced the week of the PAC 12 basketball tourney.

This is all conjecture and bloviating from FSU. That GoR is ironclad. They have zero leverage.

Announcement likely to coincide with the start of the PAC-12 basketball tourney (March 8). In all likelihood both SMU and SDSU come in at around half of the TV revenue projected for the legacy PAC schools. The estimates are all over the place from 26m on the low end to 35m on the high end. I think you can realistically expect the PAC to get the equivalent of the Big 12's deal so lets say 31-32m with a 5 year GoR.

The break is coming. Likely to coincide with the ACC GoR expiration.

P5 Lite is an ocean away from the AAC and will be reflected in the TV dollars and bowl tie-ins.

All of the things you say are possible... But we won't be in a conference with Charlotte, Rice, UAB, FAU, Tulsa and a few others that have all but given up on college football and have absolutely no chance of competing in the future with NIL. And that alone is more than enough to roll the dice. Not to mention even in a doomsday scenario the TV dollars will be double the AAC.

The PAC, as currently constructed, is a much better fit for SMU not just with respect to athletics but academics. Look at the research dollars schools like ASU, Colorado, Utah have raked in due primarily to their association with the PAC-12. If the conference keeps Washington and Oregon happy then its a no-brainer compared to the hayseed truck stops like Manhattan KS, Stillwater, Ames, Morgantown, Waco, Lubbock, etc.

Nope. Its a matter if when not if. Expecting a formal announcement in the next two weeks.

We took 7,500 to Ann Arbor. We don't go to Denton b/c well.....its Denton. And I don't mean that as a bad thing believe me. But its hard to get SMU folks and students to go a DFW suburb to watch a game. I wish it weren't that way but it is.

It won't be completely digital/streaming but AMAZON will want its share of content for their streaming service. Either way most are saying 30-35m per school. I would imagine SDSU and SMU come in at half.

We'll take our chances against what we're leaving behind in the AAC. Even conservative estimates will be double what SMU is currently getting from the AAC deal so yeah. Not really a sinking ship when contrasted with a ship that has already sunk.

Texas State makes a lot of sense.

I'd gladly take one Utah over anything in the AAC.

Uhhhh yes. Compared to anything that's left in the AAC for damn sure.

I'll remind myself of the late starts when we're playing Washington, Utah, and Oregon instead of UAB, Charlotte, and FAU.

There is no scenario for SMU that is as bad as the current AAC. I'll take my chances with anything else.

Trying to predict what will happen in 5 to 7 years with college realignment is a fool's errand. Regardless, you take the invite and never look back. Certainly with what SMU is leaving behind in the AAC.

Even in that scenario its a 1000x better than AACCUSA.

The last one that comes to mind is Temple getting booted from the Big East in 2004.

The playoff is expanding to 12 with six conference champions getting in automatically. The PAC's place at the table is secure. Further, they are absolutely going to get a TV deal right in line with the Big 12 in terms of $ per school. There is no current scenario where it is advantageous for any remaining members to leave. If the B1G expands then of course all bets are off but Washington and Oregon were both there to be had last summer and the B1G didn't make a move. Beyond the simple athletic advantages of moving to the PAC, SMU as a ton of California students and West Coast alumni. Being associated academically with Stanford, Washington, CAL has real benefits too as opposed to Charlotte, FAU, UAB, ECU, et al. The fact is SMU and SDSU make a ton of sense for the PAC and both have made the financial commitment to be competitive from the jump.

What was the TV revenue associated with UNT's time in the Big West versus the $15-25m SMU would get being in the PAC?

Are you really trying to draw a parallel between the PAC 12 and the Big West?