ok, some numbers on how the teams are rated:
Presnapread (I like and respect Presnapread):
preseaseason: UNT ranked 102nd, Indiana ranked 103rd
reranking after week 3: UNT ranked 110th, Indiana ranked 106th
Jeff Sagarins computer (suffering from the flaws of early season):
UNT, 148th, Indiana 107th.
depending on which of his rankings you use he'll have the line at between 4 and 9 points in favour of Indiana (home advantage counted in).
the bleacher report (ok, that don't mean anything) had UNT last week as it's worst team in the nation,while Indiana was the 22nd worst team.
I strongly expect ESPNs Bottom 10 to make this its pillow fight of the week.
Despite the slight favor in these numbers for Indiana, I get the feeling that for a big 10 team to be as similarly rated as Indiana is to UNT, it actually has to be worse. Also I feel this will be a game where the offenses will make the defenses look good:
prediction: UNT 13, Indiana 9