Some big (IMO) unknowns not defined in the choices are:
- What kind of season will Kansas State have this year? That would play a role in how much media coverage a UNT win would get. A win over Kansas State would be a big deal if KSU'd had a great season. If they had a crap season, no one on the outside really cares so much.
- A win in the Clemson game might not earn us many immediate brownie points because I think John Q. Public would assume that Clemson was just greatly overrated going into the year...since they wouldn't have anything else to compare it to yet. Also, how does Ball State's preseason expectations last year (following a great season the year before) match up to Clemon expectations for this year? Did the Ball State win do a lot for us in recruiting? I dunno.
- Who does UNT play in the bowl game and do they win? If UNT were to have a big win over a team with a storied season, that could be significant.
The one thing pretty well guaranteed with the scenarios is that if UNT made it to a bowl game, that's national TV exposure with little or no competition on TV for the football fan. That is what swayed my vote to the bowl game.
My $.02.