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Everything posted by untjim1995
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Now you are just trolling. Mac got it real quick last year just how much this game matters to the fanbase, even though he looked at it first as if there was no reason this could be looked at as a rivalry because of the lopsided record overall. Once he saw this and heard about Russia State being preferred to SMUby George Dunham, he knew then what this menat. And we went out there and crushed them. When he was at Iowa State, ISU hadn't beaten Iowa in years. Hayden Fry had just owned ISU. Then, once Mac got things going in Ames, he turned the tables on Iowa. He started winning more than he lost against Iowa, knowing that game mattered more to ISU fans than any other game. He's gonna do the same thing here with SMU. The Ponies don't look at us as any kind of rival--they have TCU and UH for that, not to mention Tulsa and Tulane. We will always want this game more than they will, even if we don't win it.
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MGB: Five things that could make 2015 worse for UNT
untjim1995 replied to Brett Vito's topic in Mean Green Football
If we lose to SMU or Portland State, it's very possible that we only win 1 game. Those two teams are behind every single CUSA team we play by a wide margin. -
With our track record of getting QBs here under Mac/Chico, I'd say you'd better go down to 55% and 5.5. And that is recruiting in a state with the offenses that are full of throwing QBs at 95+% of the schools. And yet last year's QB and this year's hopeful QB are both JUCOs. It is what it is--you just gotta hope that the busdriver keeps a steady hand on the wheel. That's the McDickney Offense in a nutshell.
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MGB: Five things that could make 2015 worse for UNT
untjim1995 replied to Brett Vito's topic in Mean Green Football
The schedule is the just a killer for a school like ours, in its current talent condition. Blame RV for a poor schedule, blame Mac for the lack of developed talent on the roster, but the fact is that this team may have a coach in year 5, but it looks like one in year 2. Obviously, it shouldn't, but it does. So, because of that fact, you can be pissed about that reality, but to be reasonable about the current situation and the schedule ahead, expecting a bowl berth is just a pipedream, IMO. It sucks, but its the place we are in. The only person who is ont he chopping block is Chico, who's contract runs out this year. Unless he turns Minimac into something no one can foresee, this will be his last year. But Mac and RV are here after this season even if we go 0-12, which we won't because of Portland State, at the very least. For those fans out there that love UNT Football and RV because of tailgating, even with only 5 games to enjoy this fine experience that has given the AD an almost lifetime guaranteed contract, its highly probable that you guys are going to enjoy this season the most out of anyone associated with UNT...and you'll probably have plenty of room to enjoy yourself in the stands, too. -
I don't think so...music is the window to the university and the town. Always has been, always will be. Maybe that is what brings in the "hippies" as you say, but that is what the entire city is known for. Its a liberal arts university and town. Again, though, your point was that football is king in Texas...which is very true. Just not in Denton, Texas. It isn't wishy washy on sports at all...they make it real clear that they don't care about them much at all, except for the 10,000-20,000 that show up on a Saturday for the fall, many of who travel from outside the city limits, as well as the 1000-3000 that show up at the Super Pit during the regular season. From a pool of 36k students, thousands of faculty and employees, 100k citizens in Denton, and the 200k local alumni in the DFW area, that 's not wishy-washy, that's pretty damn clear to me...
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Arkansas is a talent-rich and tradition-rich flagship program in the best conference in our land. They are doing a great job of finding a niche for their style of offense, which I think will play well in the SEC, since they have gone spread happy, too. But Arkansas will get a much better QB than us even if they never passed the ball because they are Arkansas in the SEC. Kids in Arkansas want to play at Razorback Stadium. QBs in Texas don't want to come here unless they have no other option. I have no problem with the McDickney offense...when its paired with a kick-ass defense and special teams. But it will never feature a throwing QB that is flinging it around all over the field, like at most other schools these days, who can put the team on his shoulders and bring you back on his own. Look at the QBs we have signed and played under Mac has been the coach--McNulty (underwhelming), Dajon (bad fit), and Greer (scared). None of them could even be trusted to throw a pass downfield against FBS competition, one of who seemed nervous as hell to be on the field, one who couldn't learn the playbook or anything else apparently, and one who could be trusted to only hand off the ball or throw two yard passes. Maybe Damarcus Smith changes this completely and he is Seneca Wallace 2.0, but we won't know that until October most likely. McNulty is Mac's guy--fully trusts him, knows he will run the gameplan the he wants it run, and he apparently is a good test-taker in Chico's class.
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I never posted a syllable about UTA being our rival, just posting about a school that actually looks at us as a rival. Kinda like SMU looks at us, but I digress...but I guess bringing that up is "dumb", which is probably what SMU posters say when we talk about them being our "rivals", the guys who have played us exactly 6 times in the previous 25 years. And, yeah, football really rules bigtime in Denton, Texas...I mean adding 800 members to the MGC in the same time that 76k graduated, not to mention those who attended the school and didn't graduate, or just moved into Denton in the last 15 years, shows that football is definitely ruling in our fair town.
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In all seriousness, the school that views us as a huge rival is probably UTA, since we compete with them for Metroplex students and have played several years in basketball. UTSA probably likes us as a "rival" in football, since we are an in-state school that has some name recognition from fielding a team for decades, yet still haven't beat them (sad)...
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If BYU could move the needle, they'd already be there. But the Big XII is at full value right now. The three big drivers in the Big XII are UT, OU, and KU. OU and KU are already flirting very heard with the Big Ten and SEC, with the Pac-12 and ACC also possibilites. Its the GOR that keeps them in place. If they both leave, as has been mentioned heavily of late to go to the Big Ten, Texas is not staying in the Big 12 as its currently positioned. They either go with the other two or they go independent, which I still believe is their best bet. They can unleash all of the political baggage that would be Baylor, Tech, and TCU, by, in part, agreeing to still play them, as well as fellow independents BYU, ND, and Army. They can add in an FCS team to play, a few SBCUSA teams to buy, and then get other P5 games, all while keeping the LHN. The AAC would do backflips if Texas joined them for the other sports, just like the ACC did with ND. In that scenario, the Pac-12 probably just stays at 12. They won't take religious schools, so that kills BYU, BU, and TCU, nor will they take schools with poor academic rankings that are below some of their current members, so Boise State, Texas Tech, OSU, and KSU are out. They won't take Iowa State becuase of having no market, even though they are AAU, and obviously WVU isn't a git geographically, academically, or market-wise. That leaves the ACC and the SEC to figure out if they want to stand pat at 14 football members or if they want o join the Big Ten in adding membership to get to 16. The SEC is all about TV markets for the SEC network, so I don't know if KSU, OSU, or WVU move the needle enough, although they have made it clear that they won't take two teams from the same state anymore, so if the ACC holds steady with its membership, then maybe KSU and OSU would be good fits. For $hits and giggles, lets say they do. Then, let's say the ACC adds WVU and UConn to get to 16, as well. The ship would have 60 conference mates, plus at least three independents with national name recognition, ND, BYU, and UT. I don't believe that Tech, TCU, Baylor, or ISU could pull off independence, so I suspect that the MWC will add them into their conference at that point. I could be wrong about TCU and Baylor, though--their money might be able to keep them afloat for a while as an independent in football to see if they can join the other three I mentioned above, knowing full well that the AAC would probably take them in, as well, as non-football members. You could reshuffle the deck to include a few differnet names as G5s that could move up, but only UConn has the basketball gold in both genders to provide the most value, not to mention their proximity to the NE markets.I don't see how they could get passed up for expansion by Cincy, USF, UCF, Memphis, Houston, Boise State, or BYU. Anyone not mentioned is G5 going forward for good, unless they quit football/athletics.
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My only worry about Means is that he was red-shirted last year with the worst collection of QBs that we have seen here since the Dickey era closed up. Seriously, if the coach felt it was better to redshirt Means instead of play him over McNulty last year, that doesn't give me much confidence in Mac's opinion of Means. I know you are talking true fresman versus junior QB who also redshirted, but seriously, McNulty is not an FBS QB. Just because he beat out Greer and Dajon in no way makes me feel good about him. Instead, it just tells me that Greer cannot play at this level and that Dajon was a round peg in a square hole known as Mac/Chico's offense. I'd have taken my chance on Means over McNulty last season, especially after the FIU game where the coach literally wouldn't let him throw a ball in the 4th quarter because he knew he would turn it over. Means could be a Derek Thompson QB eventually. McNulty has more than proven that he cannot reach even that level of busdriver. The McDickney offense is very much a bore to Texas HS recruits and coaches. Ask any of them and they will tell you that. They all like McCarney and his staff, but they think his offense is from the Woody Hayes era of football, a time that most of today's football coaches were'nt even alive to see. They like his hard-hitting defense and his ability to relate to offensive linemen, but they know that the spread is run by 95% of the high schools in this state. The coaches are the first ones to tell you that the McDickney offense is absolutely no fun for the kids and that maybe one school per district runs an offense that is like ours. I suspect that you'll continue to see us having to depend on juco QBs or HS kids from out of state to agree to come here. Especially after watching Dajon get run off, other staffs are going ot have an even easier time to recruit against us for QBs than they already had, which was very easy to begin with. Even if Chico gets fired after this season and the staff somehow blames him for the QB mess, I still doubt that the G5 schools we recruit against aren't still gonna pound on Mac's offensive strategy at UNT and ask them what offesne would be a better fit and more fun to be a part of. Whether its been 2002-2004 or 2013, two things have held true to win at UNT at this level of play. We have to more physical than the other teams we play and we have to create turnovers. If we do, we win. If not, see 1995-2001, as well 2005-2014, sans 2013.
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We are going to beat them. It may be by less than a TD, but we will beat them. They have no developed talent. Morris isn't going to change that in his first year. They might be a better as the season goes, but I still bet they don't win more than 3 games at best. I do think Morris could pull a June Jones and make marked improvement in his second year at the Hilltop, but I also think its just as likely that he could be their next Phil Bennett, Mike Cavan, Tom Rossley, etc... I tihnk we win a late game by being in better game shape and making fewer mistakes, maybe even coming from behind to win, but we will beat them. Mac's teams play up for "rivalry" games--he knows how to motivate his players to beat the team that his players and fans hate the most. Its why he had a winning record against Iowa while in Ames, when Iowa State rarely beat them before he got there. I'll say it again...if we cannot beat SMU, there's not one other FBS team on our schedule we will beat.
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What are your expectaitons, realistically, for this upcoming season?
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This. Thinking anti-trust suit here is about the same as USFL vs NFL...it won't end well for the G5s. Look, we blew it decades ago. We decided to play football at a level that killed the chance of ever getting the program up to the P5 level of today. We are behind ever school in the MWC and AAC, as well as a school or two in the MAC, for ever getting a P5 spot. In our own market, it took pissant SMU moving to the AAC just to get us into CUSA or else we are stuck still in the SBC. You can bitch about the truth, but the leadership here didn't care about big time athletics, so Cerebus' point about becoming the best G5 team we can be is all you can hope for now. And if you believe that we are going to eventually be playing in a conference above us right now, its just not happening. Right now, we are an underachiever in G5. Let's aim to just be an achiever at this level first, then look at becoming an overachiever at this level, like Boise State, Fresno State, Nevada, Northern Illinois, UH, UCF, and others have been in recent years. Those of us on the outside are officially out after the last legislation passed. This COA BS will be the end of college football amateurism. There's no way we can pay what the P5s pay or even the high dollar G5 institutions. We think Dan McCarney and Tony Benford have colossal contracts...they aren't anything compared to the coaches in any P5 school and a lot of G5 schools. UNT90, we see eye-to-eye on a lot of this stuff, but the courts and the legislatures are full of P5 graduates and their pockets are lined by P5 money and their media. Our only chance now of ever being nationally known for anything athletically is in basketball, because of the current setup of the NCAA Tournament. Assuming that doesn't change radically from its current setup, you can become a Gonzaga-type program from outside the P6 in basketball (includes the Big East). But we have severely crushed that hope with the hire of and retainment of Tony Benford, who's colossal $325k salary is apparently too much to buyout beyond a year (shocking...). The P5 is probably, at best, stay at its current number of 66 if you include BYU, but there are more schools that are liable to get drop-kicked out (ahem, Baylor, TCU, and ISU) than get a chance to move up (UConn and maybe one of Cincy, UCF, and Memphis). We aren't going to be in that group, for one big reason--we chose not to fund a winning program. Everything else we have endured and dealt with all come from that decision.
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I completely agree. If this game is even close, I will be shocked. I don't think it will be as bad as the Nicholls State game last season, but I see us just drilling this team. Seriously, without a doubt, after Portland State, the least talented team on our schedule is SMU. Playing in our backyard, even at their stadium, still should be a win. There won't be one other team we will play less talented than SMU. And they have absolutely no home field advantage when they play us, even down there. After those two teams, your best bets are against the three CUSA West teams that are at the bottom with us, USM, UTSA, and UTEP--in order of weakest to strongest. Playing UTEP here is the only reason they are listed, but I do think we can beat them here.Those three are 50/50 games. After that, Rice, WKU, @La Tech, @ Marshall, and @ MUTS are games we have a shot, but probably don't win unless we get a lot of breaks. I think we win 3-4 games this season, with 5+ wins being a real surprise, and less than 3 being a complete disaster.
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I agree with absolutely everything you posted here, TTG...except the last sentences. There is no way his seat gets hot until after the 2016 season, unless he wins a combined 2 games or less in back-to-back seasons. Even then, I doubt we are gonna buy him out before he has one last year left on his contract. I see 2017 bringing us three possible options, all of which are just about equal, in my opinion. One, Mac has a bad year, following three bad seasons, and gets fired at some point. Two, he has a bowl season in 2017 and gets another extension, just less than the one he just received, like a 2-3 year extension. Or Three, Mac announces he will retire at the end of 2018 and UNT lets him run out the clock on his complete contract. I trust Mac to develop his lines and that his defense and special teams will keep getting better as they get stronger. I expect that our running game will get better by 2017. I also expect that his QB will be some combo of Derek Thompson/Mini Mac, a guy who doesn't get you killed with stupid turnovers, but cannot win you games on their shoulders. They will handoff 2/3rds of the time and throw short, safe passes on most dropbacks. If your running game and defense are outstanding and you create a lot of turnovers, you will get to a bowl game. If not, then you won't ever win more than 5 games. Whether we want to admit it or not, this season is all about development. If we win 5 games or more, Chico probably stays. If not, he goes. Then next year, you aim for #hit6 again. And finally, in 2017, you look at 7+ wins again as a real possibility, having stronger depth, bigger lines, and an experienced busdriver again.
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Gosselin: How can North Texas football emerge from obscurity?
untjim1995 replied to Harry's topic in Mean Green Football
How long have you followed UNT Sports? Its been a long time, as in many decades, correct? That fork has already been stuck in you and me for years--we just continue to go and watch the team(s) play, unlike the other 98% of the university's family.- 28 replies
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- rick gosselin
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McNulty is number one on the depth chart and will start at SMU. What all of you Damarcus Smith fans aren't even considering is that he is behind both McNulty and Greer in Chico's and Mac's heads. This offense doesn't even come close to using the strengths that Damarcus Smith offers--its meant for a busdriver, preferably an experienced busdriver. In 2013, that was Derek Thompson, who had an incredible defense and special teams with an easier schedule. In 2015, McNulty will get the first two months to show his stuff, just with a worse defense and special teams and a much, much harder schedule. My guess is that we will see MiniMac start the first four games. If we lose at USM, then we will see another QB against might Portland State. If that QB doesn't get it done, MiniMac will get the job back by the time we play UTSA at home, as Mac is going to go with the QB that has the best chance at beating the RoadBirds. I see two for-sure wins on this schedule: @SMU and at home against Portland State. If you cannot win those two, you won't beat anyone else. But assuming you can, @USM, UTSA, and UTEP remian your best chances for wins. Win 2 of those three and it gets us to 4-8, which I think is about where we will finish.
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That's already happened, but the P5s still pay us to play them. When that money faucet stops, the G5s will face teh music. Its why Benson of the Sun Belt has actually been speaking the truth about the fact that their schools are "addicted" to the easy pay games at P5 powerhouses. He knows, since he used to run the WAC with Boise State, and Fresno State, that with the right scheduling, you can get a BCS Bowl bid and make more money. But it takes risk and investments. Marshall did that last year and fell short of a BCS Bowl, but probably helped them with their fanbase to donate more to the program.The Helwig approach of 3 bodybag games away from home was impossible to overcome, but RV's 1 or 2 bodybag games a year hasn't been much better. As crazy as Benson is, his point on these P5 bloodbaths is dead-on. But those opportunities are going to go away soon enough and there isn't a thing that non-P5s will be able to do about it. Those schools control the networks, the NCAA, the state and federal legislatures, and the bowls. When the schism occurs, which I think will be within 10 years, those of us sitting outside of the gate are going to have to decide something very important. Will football continue to be worth playing? Its a question that will be incredibly difficult to answer for sure. Will folks show up to watch us play SMU, UTSA, UTEP, Tulsa, UH, etc...or will they just stay away, like they did when we were 1-aa, as if the current G5 teams are basically the same as Nicholls State and McNeese State. Its not hard to imagine schools like SMU and Tulane flat out dropping the program versus keeping it going, but I don't know about the other public schools in the region. It will be interesting to see how it all plays out, for sure.
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Gosselin: How can North Texas football emerge from obscurity?
untjim1995 replied to Harry's topic in Mean Green Football
Here's my worry about doing a meeting like that...I don't think that they all like UNT Football, as a matter of fact, I strongly believe that many of them loathe the program because of its costs and its "boorishness". These people like arts and music, just like their constituents. I wouldn't put it past all of them to get together in a confernece room and decide to drop football altogether, then use Apogee for high school games and concerts, as well as to make it the home of The Green Brigade. There's no way you can convince me that all of those people care about UNT Athletics, much less want to raise them to a higher level--that would cost money. I do think that all of them would want to make sure that music got taken care of properly, though...and Apogee would make for a fine marching band venue in their minds. Athletics won't get elevated here unless the BOR/administration make a concerned pivot towards increasing funding of the program. I don't care if our budget is top 3 in CUSA right now. If it means that we are stuck with bad coaches, then that figure doesn't equate to anything good. And right now, Tony Benford is getting a 4th year as our coach because we can't/won't buy him out, just as we did with Todd Dodge and Vic Trilli in years past, as well as Darrell Dickey back in 2001 when a BOR member flat out told RV he couldn't fire him in the middle of a season, even tough he was 0-5 at that point in his 4th year, following three seasons where he went 8-26. Until winning at revenue sports becomes the ultimate goal, which would require a complete sea change at the top levels of the BOR and administration, you are going to see Coach Mac get three more years on his contract, bar none. He can literally go 0-12 this year and next and keep his job witht he current mindset. And RV is here for life, no matter what. That part cannot even be debated. If you get 14 years here with the records of the revenue sports he has had, you know he really can just stay here until he wants to retire. I don't see us going down a different path. The city doesn't want it, the university's leadership doesn't want to fund it, and the overwhelming amount of students and alumni don't care. My guess is that the diehards on here will continue to follow and fund the program, while the 5 or 6 big money donors will still get RV's undivided attention so they can brag to their friends about being tight with the AD, and we will still enjoy games at Apogee, because its not decrepit old Fouts, even if the opponenets are basically the same as those we played when we were playing at Fouts. Its just how it works around here...it has been for decades, some a bit better (the 60s and 70s) and some a lot worse (the 80s and 90s).- 28 replies
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Truly, they seem like the only school out there that has the same issues to deal with, both market-wise and record-wise, albeit SJSU never dropped down to i-aa. We both are afterthoughts, from the media, the state's citizenry, and even our own students, faculty, and alumni.
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apathy
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I remember thinking like this, especially after moving up to Division 1 in 1995. Then I watched the first regime, Matt Simon's, go 11-22 before he got canned. The I watched Darrell Dickey go 42-64 before he got canned. Then I watched Todd Dodge's regime lead us to a 8-40 record in the enxt four years. And now I've seen Dan McCarney go 22-27 in four years, with at least three more seasons to go. You'll get here, too. At which point, you'll either follow the 98% of alums and students who don't give a rip about UNT sports or you'll join the rest of us, who follow us because they are our team, even though you know a winning season around here comes around about as easy as getting a winning scratch-off lottery ticket. Fan expectations aren't ever going to make any difference if the school's expectations are far below what the fans want. And in our case, the first big problem is that the culture has made it to where there aren't many fans to even begin with, much less care about and fund the program.
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Welcome to UNT fandom...its pretty much been this way for the 25 years I've followed the program. You got two things right, for sure--the stadium is nice and our kids play hard. Where this program is right now, this schedule is damn near impossible to expect much more than 5 wins with the current roster we have. Sorry, but Iowa and Tennessee are bought games. Maybe if we had 2013's team again, they wouldn't be--but we don't...at all. Marshall, La Tech, WKU, Rice, and MUTS are much better than we are right now. UTSA, UTEP, and USM are the three teams on the schedule that we are probably competitive with. And SMU and Portland State are the two teams we are better than right now. That's it. Its just sad man, sad...but the AD keeps getting extensions and the head coach has four more years on his contract. The change you want isn't going to happen--even if we went 0-12 this year. The OC will get fired, as well some other coaches on the staff, but the head coach is here for at least three more seasons--and the AD here is a lifer at this point. He has survived this long with the products we have thrown out there, led by his hires, and still gets extended, he basically will get to determine when he retires and what room/venue will get named after him at UNT after he's done.
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MGB: C-USA commissioner Banowsky stepping down
untjim1995 replied to Brett Vito's topic in Mean Green Football
This is very true. All of those schools have had banner basketball teams over the years, much bigger than their football programs. In some ways, I would rather see a commissioner who was focused on hoops than football. None of the lower G5 conferences can really the current situation we are now in, especially with the paying of players. But it doesn't cost nearly as much to have a basketball team become a winner on the national front because of the current setup in the NCAA and NIT Tournaments. Same actually applies to College Baseball, as well. We all love college football, but we are basically forced to ride the ship in steerage, while the P5s ride first class. In the past, they allowed for one team to at least have a shot at visiting the top of the cruise line, but even that seems like it won't happen much longer. And at some point, the folks on the ship are probably gonna kick off the steerage to float on lifeboats to their next ship or harbor. The scary part of the entire equation is if the P5s really do fully separte at some point from the NCAA, taking their teams to a different setup for their teams. If that ever happens, ESPN, Fox, and CBS will be going absolutely crazy at the thought of only having their pet schools to cover for the future. CBS covers the P5 Basketball Toiurnament--plus the Big East, A_10, and the West Coast Conference, for example. ESPN covers the P5 College World Series. And Fox covers the P5 Football Playoff System. The G5s can probably exist if they fully separate football away from ever playing P5s again, but they cannot exist if the Basketball Tournaments and College World Sereis ever go away. You'd see several schools in the G5 and FCS probably give up on college sports if they cannot at least have the chance to participate in the college basketball and baseball tournaments. Football is one thing, but basketball and baseball, albeit much less popular than college football, are the two revenue sports that allow the little guys a chance at scheduling revenue games against the bigger schools and also gives them the opportunity to actually slay Goliath. I'd give away never playing a P5 school ever again right now if it meant that the NCAA Tournament and College World Series never change a bit in terms of who gets to play for a bid and that it includes everyone.