That's the most ridiculous thing I've ever heard. First off, you're telling me the A$M always wanted to be in the SEC? They didn't get to pick the SEC, the SEC picked them and that move never happens without other conference realignment and the LHN. A$M is the most awesome school ever to get Nebraska and Colorado to leave, then somehow get UT to start the Longhorn Network, and start the idea of the super-conference all so they can finally have cover to leave for the SEC. Those Aggies are brilliant!!
By the way, I say history and affliation have nothing to do with conference realignment and can point out numerous examples (Maryland to the Big 10, Boise and SDSU to the Big East, Missouri to the SEC, Syracuse and Pitt to the ACC) and you give me one. A dubious one at that.
For the most part none of this has been predictable and to say that we can predict future alignment by looking at the past? Sorry just don't buy it.
But hey, if you can find a post from days gone by where you predicted Boise in the Big East, Maryland in the Big Ten, TCU to the Big 12, not to mention all the other craziness that has happen, i'd love to see it.